Polls Show Trump Ahead Of Harris In Pennsylvania And Georgia After Attempted Assassination

 September 17, 2024

In pivotal battlegrounds, former President Donald Trump holds a lead over Vice President Kamala Harris as indicated by recent polls.

Breitbart reported that Trump is currently leading in the polls against Vice President Kamala Harris in the critical electoral states of Pennsylvania and Georgia. This comes as both states are seen as vital for the outcome of the upcoming presidential election.

Insights gathered from the InsiderAdvantage and Trafalgar Group surveys conducted in these states suggest a slight edge for Trump, signaling a competitive race ahead.

Specifically, Trump garnered 50% support compared to Harris's 48%. These figures emerged from a survey that included responses spanning the period before, during, and after a second assassination attempt on Trump was reported.

The Pennsylvania survey polled 800 likely voters and presents a margin of error of ±3.46%. RealClearPolitics has also reflected these findings in their electoral map, which now shows Pennsylvania possibly flipping in favor of Trump. This shift can be crucial, given Pennsylvania’s historical significance in deciding presidential elections.

The impact of the second assassination attempt on Trump during the survey period remains a topic of speculation among political analysts. "The extent to which the news was pervasive or influenced respondents would be guesswork. However, the survey gives us at least a partial look at what impact the incident might have on his numbers," a report noted regarding the potential influence of the assassination news.

Georgia Polling Trends Favor Trump

Moving to Georgia, a survey by the Trafalgar Group conducted between September 11-13, 2024, also supports Trump's lead.

He is ahead by 1.7 percentage points, with 46.2% support over Harris's 44.5%. In this survey, 6% of voters remain undecided, and 3.3% support other candidates, making the race in Georgia equally tight.

The survey in Georgia involved 1,098 respondents and holds a margin of error of ±2.9%. These figures indicate a close battle where every single percentage point will be fiercely contested. Undecided voters will play a significant role as both campaigns try to sway them in the weeks leading up to the election.

Trump's reaction to the assassination attempt has been a mix of defiance and reflection. Describing the incident, he recounted the moments a Secret Service agent spotted the barrel of an AK-47 and responded by firing at the suspected shooter.

"A Secret Service agent had seen a barrel of an AK-47... He started shooting at the barrel. He started shooting in the bushes. He could only see the barrel — based on that, he started shooting," Trump narrated the harrowing episode.

Trump's Resilience Amidst Personal Attacks

Following the confusion, Trump provided further details, "Those were the shots we heard. The other one [Ryan Wesley Routh] never got a shot off," adding, "[Routh] ran across the street and hopped into his truck or car."

Trump saw the assassination attempt as potentially symbolic, stating, “Something is going on, perhaps it’s God wanting me to be president to save this country.”

This recent brush with danger and the poll numbers reflect a tumultuous season in American politics. Trump's resilience and his framing of the incidents suggest a campaign narrative that intertwines personal survival with a broader national mission.

In conclusion, the lead held by Donald Trump in Pennsylvania and Georgia underscores a presidential race that is intensely close and heavily influenced by recent dramatic events. Both states show him slightly ahead, weaving a complex electoral scenario as the nation approaches the polls. Trump's comments post-incident hint at a deeply personal campaign approach in the face of adversity, while the numbers hint at an electorate closely divided.

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